Where the Next 5 Years of Outperformance in SEA Will Come From
Breaking down the structural shifts and what they mean for SEA equities
Southeast Asia’s digital economy crossed US$300B in GMV in 2025, nearly 50% higher than what the very first e-Conomy SEA report projected 10 years ago.
A short introduction to the e-Conomy SEA report: this is a landmark annual study of Southeast Asia, particularly focused on the digital economy. It was first launched by Temasek and Google in 2016, with Bain & Company joining as lead research partner in 2019. It tracks and analyses the digital economy of Southeast Asia across several sectors: e-commerce, travel, food & transport, online media & digital financial services.
In my opinion, it is mandatory reading for all SEA investors as it provides an independent, data-driven view of the region’s digital economy. Particularly, how large the opportunity is, trends, investment flows, and challenges.
The e-Conomy SEA 2025 report is 81 pages and covers four major themes. To make the insights more usable for investors, I am breaking it into two parts.
Part 1 focuses on the fundamentals of the digital economy today. It examines the 9 core sectors that currently drive GMV and revenue in Southeast Asia:
e-commerce, food delivery, transport, online travel, online media, payments, lending, wealth and insurance.
In other words, this is the “current state of play”. Who/what is growing, why they are growing and which monetisation strategies are working right now.
Specifically, I will breakdown:
the structural shifts reshaping Southeast Asia’s digital economy
the new monetisation engines driving platform profitability
the AI disruption that will reshape demand and intent
the Digital Financial Services battleground
most importantly for many of us, how each of these forces directly affects Sea Limited and Grab.
Table of Contents
Introduction
Lesson #1: Consolidation is now the main driver of profitability
Lesson #2: Monetisation matters more than GMV growth
Lesson #3: AI is a double-edged sword
Lesson #4: Ecosystem lock-in is key
Lesson #5: Digital financial services are becoming the core monetisation engine
Lesson #6: Cost discipline is structural, not temporary
Lesson #7: Platforms are more important than Meta and Google in SEA
Concluding Thoughts